SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tigre win with a probability of 44.06%. A draw had a probability of 29.1% and a win for Godoy Cruz had a probability of 26.81%.
The most likely scoreline for a Tigre win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.06%) and 2-1 (8.11%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.13%), while for a Godoy Cruz win it was 0-1 (10.63%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 14.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Tigre in this match.
| Result | ||
| Tigre | Draw | Godoy Cruz |
44.06% ( -0.15) | 29.13% ( 1.47) | 26.81% ( -1.32) |
| Both teams to score 41.94% ( -4.58) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 35.84% ( -5.37) | 64.16% ( 5.37) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 16.7% ( -3.99) | 83.29% ( 3.99) |
| Tigre Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.91% ( -2.63) | 29.09% ( 2.64) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35% ( -3.38) | 65% ( 3.38) |
| Godoy Cruz Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 59.14% ( -4.11) | 40.86% ( 4.11) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 22.57% ( -3.89) | 77.43% ( 3.89) |
| Score Analysis |
| Tigre | Draw | Godoy Cruz |
| 1-0 @ 14.67% ( 1.75) 2-0 @ 9.06% ( 0.47)2-1 @ 8.11% ( -0.49)3-0 @ 3.73% ( -0.08)3-1 @ 3.34% ( -0.48)3-2 @ 1.49% ( -0.42)4-0 @ 1.15% ( -0.12)4-1 @ 1.03% ( -0.24)Other @ 1.47% Total : 44.05% | 1-1 @ 13.13% ( 0.19) 0-0 @ 11.88% ( 2.16)2-2 @ 3.63% ( -0.68)Other @ 0.48% Total : 29.12% | 0-1 @ 10.63% ( 0.9) 1-2 @ 5.88% ( -0.6)0-2 @ 4.76% ( -0.11)1-3 @ 1.75% ( -0.41)0-3 @ 1.42% ( -0.21)2-3 @ 1.08% ( -0.35)Other @ 1.28% Total : 26.8% |
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