SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lanus win with a probability of 40.73%. A win for Tigre had a probability of 29.9% and a draw had a probability of 29.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lanus win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.14%) and 2-1 (7.85%). The likeliest Tigre win was 0-1 (11.32%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.33%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lanus would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Lanus | Draw | Tigre |
40.73% ( 1.39) | 29.37% ( 0.21) | 29.9% ( -1.59) |
| Both teams to score 42.83% ( -1.05) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 36.19% ( -1.04) | 63.81% ( 1.04) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 16.95% ( -0.75) | 83.05% ( 0.75) |
| Lanus Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.21% ( 0.29) | 30.79% ( -0.29) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.94% ( 0.34) | 67.06% ( -0.34) |
| Tigre Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.89% ( -1.79) | 38.11% ( 1.79) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 25.12% ( -1.77) | 74.88% ( 1.77) |
| Score Analysis |
| Lanus | Draw | Tigre |
| 1-0 @ 13.82% ( 0.63) 2-0 @ 8.14% ( 0.43)2-1 @ 7.85% ( 0.05)3-0 @ 3.2% ( 0.2)3-1 @ 3.08% ( 0.04)3-2 @ 1.49% ( -0.05)4-0 @ 0.94% ( 0.06)4-1 @ 0.91% ( 0.02)Other @ 1.3% Total : 40.73% | 1-1 @ 13.33% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 11.73% ( 0.45)2-2 @ 3.79% ( -0.17)Other @ 0.51% Total : 29.36% | 0-1 @ 11.32% ( -0.11) 1-2 @ 6.43% ( -0.33)0-2 @ 5.46% ( -0.33)1-3 @ 2.07% ( -0.22)0-3 @ 1.76% ( -0.2)2-3 @ 1.22% ( -0.12)Other @ 1.64% Total : 29.9% |
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