SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Defensa y Justicia win with a probability of 38.92%. A win for Tigre had a probability of 33% and a draw had a probability of 28.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Defensa y Justicia win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.07%) and 2-0 (7.3%). The likeliest Tigre win was 0-1 (10.74%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.16%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Defensa y Justicia would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Defensa y Justicia | Draw | Tigre |
38.92% ( 0.01) | 28.08% ( -0) | 33% ( -0.01) |
| Both teams to score 47.25% ( 0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 41.21% ( 0.01) | 58.79% ( -0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 20.69% ( 0) | 79.31% ( -0.01) |
| Defensa y Justicia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.64% ( 0.01) | 29.36% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.66% ( 0.01) | 65.34% ( -0.01) |
| Tigre Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.88% | 33.12% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.28% | 69.72% ( -0) |
| Score Analysis |
| Defensa y Justicia | Draw | Tigre |
| 1-0 @ 11.91% 2-1 @ 8.07% ( 0)2-0 @ 7.3% ( 0)3-1 @ 3.3% ( 0)3-0 @ 2.98% ( 0)3-2 @ 1.82% ( 0)4-1 @ 1.01% 4-0 @ 0.91% Other @ 1.6% Total : 38.91% | 1-1 @ 13.16% 0-0 @ 9.72% ( -0)2-2 @ 4.46% ( 0)Other @ 0.73% Total : 28.07% | 0-1 @ 10.74% 1-2 @ 7.28% 0-2 @ 5.94% ( -0)1-3 @ 2.68% 0-3 @ 2.19% ( -0)2-3 @ 1.64% Other @ 2.53% Total : 32.99% |
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