SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 15 | Colon | 13 | 0 | 16 |
| 16 | Godoy Cruz | 12 | -1 | 15 |
| 17 | San Lorenzo | 14 | -2 | 15 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 8 | Newell's Old Boys | 12 | 3 | 20 |
| 9 | Tigre | 12 | 7 | 19 |
| 10 | Argentinos Juniors | 12 | 3 | 19 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Godoy Cruz win with a probability of 42.05%. A win for Tigre had a probability of 30.13% and a draw had a probability of 27.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Godoy Cruz win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.43%) and 2-0 (8.04%). The likeliest Tigre win was 0-1 (10.09%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.04%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Godoy Cruz | Draw | Tigre |
42.05% ( 1.74) | 27.81% ( 0.48) | 30.13% ( -2.22) |
| Both teams to score 47.1% ( -2.2) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 41.46% ( -2.4) | 58.54% ( 2.4) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 20.89% ( -1.91) | 79.11% ( 1.91) |
| Godoy Cruz Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.53% ( -0.18) | 27.47% ( 0.18) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.03% ( -0.23) | 62.96% ( 0.23) |
| Tigre Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.94% ( -2.86) | 35.05% ( 2.86) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.2% ( -3.12) | 71.8% ( 3.12) |
| Score Analysis |
| Godoy Cruz | Draw | Tigre |
| 1-0 @ 12.44% ( 1.03) 2-1 @ 8.43% ( 0.03)2-0 @ 8.04% ( 0.63)3-1 @ 3.63% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 3.46% ( 0.26)3-2 @ 1.9% ( -0.16)4-1 @ 1.17% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 1.12% ( 0.08)Other @ 1.86% Total : 42.05% | 1-1 @ 13.04% ( 0.11) 0-0 @ 9.63% ( 0.84)2-2 @ 4.42% ( -0.34)Other @ 0.72% Total : 27.81% | 0-1 @ 10.09% ( 0.13) 1-2 @ 6.84% ( -0.49)0-2 @ 5.29% ( -0.35)1-3 @ 2.39% ( -0.38)0-3 @ 1.85% ( -0.28)2-3 @ 1.54% ( -0.25)Other @ 2.13% Total : 30.13% |
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