SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tigre win with a probability of 47.76%. A draw had a probability of 29% and a win for San Lorenzo had a probability of 23.21%.
The most likely scoreline for a Tigre win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.26%) and 2-1 (8.16%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.78%), while for a San Lorenzo win it was 0-1 (10.02%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 12.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Tigre | Draw | San Lorenzo |
47.76% ( 0.23) | 29.03% ( 0.06) | 23.21% ( -0.29) |
| Both teams to score 39.52% ( -0.4) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 34.24% ( -0.36) | 65.77% ( 0.36) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 15.58% ( -0.25) | 84.42% ( 0.25) |
| Tigre Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.07% ( -0.06) | 27.93% ( 0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.45% ( -0.07) | 63.55% ( 0.07) |
| San Lorenzo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 54.83% ( -0.51) | 45.17% ( 0.51) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 18.93% ( -0.4) | 81.07% ( 0.4) |
| Score Analysis |
| Tigre | Draw | San Lorenzo |
| 1-0 @ 16.09% ( 0.19) 2-0 @ 10.26% ( 0.11)2-1 @ 8.16% ( -0.03)3-0 @ 4.36% ( 0.04)3-1 @ 3.47% ( -0.02)4-0 @ 1.39% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 1.38% ( -0.03)4-1 @ 1.11% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.54% Total : 47.75% | 1-1 @ 12.78% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 12.61% ( 0.17)2-2 @ 3.24% ( -0.06)Other @ 0.39% Total : 29.02% | 0-1 @ 10.02% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 5.08% ( -0.08)0-2 @ 3.98% ( -0.06)1-3 @ 1.35% ( -0.04)0-3 @ 1.06% ( -0.03)Other @ 1.72% Total : 23.21% |
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