SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tigre win with a probability of 41.73%. A win for Newell's Old Boys had a probability of 29.49% and a draw had a probability of 28.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Tigre win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.26%) and 2-1 (8.12%). The likeliest Newell's Old Boys win was 0-1 (10.78%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.23%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Tigre | Draw | Newell's Old Boys |
41.73% ( -1.21) | 28.78% ( 0.01) | 29.49% ( 1.2) |
| Both teams to score 44.21% ( 0.53) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 37.97% ( 0.38) | 62.03% ( -0.38) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 18.24% ( 0.28) | 81.76% ( -0.28) |
| Tigre Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.67% ( -0.48) | 29.33% ( 0.49) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.7% ( -0.6) | 65.3% ( 0.6) |
| Newell's Old Boys Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.56% ( 1.18) | 37.44% ( -1.17) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 25.77% ( 1.14) | 74.23% ( -1.13) |
| Score Analysis |
| Tigre | Draw | Newell's Old Boys |
| 1-0 @ 13.47% ( -0.37) 2-0 @ 8.26% ( -0.35)2-1 @ 8.12% ( -0.08)3-0 @ 3.38% ( -0.19)3-1 @ 3.32% ( -0.08)3-2 @ 1.63% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 1.04% ( -0.07)4-1 @ 1.02% ( -0.04)Other @ 1.51% Total : 41.73% | 1-1 @ 13.23% ( 0.06) 0-0 @ 10.98% ( -0.15)2-2 @ 3.99% ( 0.09)Other @ 0.58% Total : 28.77% | 0-1 @ 10.78% ( 0.19) 1-2 @ 6.5% ( 0.23)0-2 @ 5.3% ( 0.26)1-3 @ 2.13% ( 0.14)0-3 @ 1.74% ( 0.14)2-3 @ 1.31% ( 0.07)Other @ 1.74% Total : 29.48% |
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