Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Union win with a probability of 51.33%. A draw had a probability of 25.8% and a win for Atletico Tucuman had a probability of 22.85%.
The most likely scoreline for a Union win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.04%) and 2-1 (9.28%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.16%), while for an Atletico Tucuman win it was 0-1 (7.98%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Union in this match.
