Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sarmiento win with a probability of 50.97%. A draw had a probability of 25.6% and a win for Atletico Tucuman had a probability of 23.41%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sarmiento win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.79%) and 2-1 (9.35%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.12%), while for an Atletico Tucuman win it was 0-1 (7.86%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Sarmiento in this match.
