Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a River Plate win with a probability of 59.95%. A draw had a probability of 22.3% and a win for Atletico Tucuman had a probability of 17.76%.
The most likely scoreline for a River Plate win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.95%) and 1-2 (9.85%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.6%), while for an Atletico Tucuman win it was 1-0 (5.7%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.6% likelihood.