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Copa Diego Maradona | Second Phase
Nov 24, 2021 at 10.15pm UK
Monumental Jose Fierro
DY

Tucuman
0 - 4
Defensa


Acosta (58'), Ortiz (67'), Bustos (85')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Merentiel (20'), Hachen (63'), Bou (67' pen.), Pizzini (76')
Coverage of the Copa Diego Maradona Second Phase clash between Atletico Tucuman and Defensa y Justicia.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Tucuman win with a probability of 39.06%. A win for Defensa y Justicia had a probability of 33.44% and a draw had a probability of 27.5%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Tucuman win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.23%) and 2-0 (7.16%). The likeliest Defensa y Justicia win was 0-1 (10.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood.

Result
Atletico TucumanDrawDefensa y Justicia
39.06%27.51%33.44%
Both teams to score 49.03%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.4%56.6%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.43%77.57%
Atletico Tucuman Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.78%28.22%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.08%63.92%
Defensa y Justicia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.31%31.69%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.89%68.11%
Score Analysis
    Atletico Tucuman 39.05%
    Defensa y Justicia 33.43%
    Draw 27.51%
Atletico TucumanDrawDefensa y Justicia
1-0 @ 11.31%
2-1 @ 8.23%
2-0 @ 7.16%
3-1 @ 3.47%
3-0 @ 3.02%
3-2 @ 1.99%
4-1 @ 1.1%
4-0 @ 0.96%
Other @ 1.83%
Total : 39.05%
1-1 @ 13%
0-0 @ 8.94%
2-2 @ 4.73%
Other @ 0.84%
Total : 27.51%
0-1 @ 10.27%
1-2 @ 7.47%
0-2 @ 5.9%
1-3 @ 2.86%
0-3 @ 2.26%
2-3 @ 1.81%
Other @ 2.86%
Total : 33.43%

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