Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Union win with a probability of 50.63%. A draw had a probability of 25.6% and a win for Atletico Tucuman had a probability of 23.74%.
The most likely scoreline for a Union win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.67%) and 2-1 (9.35%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.14%), while for an Atletico Tucuman win it was 0-1 (7.89%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Union would win this match.