SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Velez Sarsfield win with a probability of 52.05%. A draw had a probability of 28.2% and a win for Huracan had a probability of 19.71%.
The most likely scoreline for a Velez Sarsfield win was 1-0 with a probability of 17.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.59%) and 2-1 (8.24%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (12.75%), while for a Huracan win it was 0-1 (9.07%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 11.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Velez Sarsfield would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Velez Sarsfield | Draw | Huracan |
52.05% ( -5.18) | 28.24% ( 1.82) | 19.71% ( 3.36) |
| Both teams to score 37.67% ( 0.79) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 33.94% ( -1.82) | 66.06% ( 1.82) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 15.37% ( -1.27) | 84.62% ( 1.27) |
| Velez Sarsfield Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.03% ( -3.13) | 25.96% ( 3.13) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.02% ( -4.42) | 60.98% ( 4.42) |
| Huracan Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 50.88% ( 3.09) | 49.11% ( -3.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 15.96% ( 2.1) | 84.03% ( -2.1) |
| Score Analysis |
| Velez Sarsfield | Draw | Huracan |
| 1-0 @ 17.19% ( -0.41) 2-0 @ 11.59% ( -1.41)2-1 @ 8.24% ( -0.21)3-0 @ 5.21% ( -1.19)3-1 @ 3.71% ( -0.46)4-0 @ 1.76% ( -0.61)3-2 @ 1.32% ( -0.04)4-1 @ 1.25% ( -0.29)Other @ 1.78% Total : 52.04% | 0-0 @ 12.75% ( 0.83) 1-1 @ 12.22% ( 0.78)2-2 @ 2.93% ( 0.19)Other @ 0.33% Total : 28.23% | 0-1 @ 9.07% ( 1.32) 1-2 @ 4.35% ( 0.63)0-2 @ 3.22% ( 0.71)1-3 @ 1.03% ( 0.22)Other @ 2.04% Total : 19.71% |
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