Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Velez Sarsfield win with a probability of 66.24%. A draw had a probability of 22.2% and a win for Sarmiento had a probability of 11.55%.

The most likely scoreline for a Velez Sarsfield win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (14.99%) and 3-0 (8.81%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.79%), while for a Sarmiento win it was 0-1 (5.55%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 17% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Velez Sarsfield in this match.

Result
Velez Sarsfield	Draw	Sarmiento
66.24%	22.21% ( -0)	11.55%

Both teams to score 36.27% (

-0)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

41.44%

58.56% (

-0)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

20.87%

79.13%

Velez Sarsfield Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.86% (

-0)

17.14%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

52.63%

47.38% (

-0)

Sarmiento Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

43.78%

56.23%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

11.4%

88.6% (

-0)

Score Analysis

Velez Sarsfield 66.23%

Sarmiento 11.55%

Draw 22.21%

Velez Sarsfield	Draw	Sarmiento
1-0 @ 16.99% 2-0 @ 14.99% 3-0 @ 8.81% 2-1 @ 8.63% 3-1 @ 5.07% 4-0 @ 3.89% 4-1 @ 2.24% 3-2 @ 1.46% 5-0 @ 1.37% Other @ 2.78% Total : 66.23%	1-1 @ 9.79% ( -0) 0-0 @ 9.64% 2-2 @ 2.49% Other @ 0.3% Total : 22.21%	0-1 @ 5.55% 1-2 @ 2.82% 0-2 @ 1.6% Other @ 1.59% Total : 11.55%