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Argentine Primera Division | Gameweek 22
Nov 11, 2024 at 7pm UK
Estadio Guillermo Laza

Deportivo Riestra
1 - 1
Velez Sarsfield

Caro (65')
Goitia (29'), Monje (72'), Arce (86')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Romero (45' pen.)
Jonas Rodriguez Lucas (56'), Garcia (57'), Gomez (60')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Platense 0-0 Deportivo Riestra
Friday, November 8 at 12am in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Velez Sarsfield 1-0 Tigre
Friday, November 8 at 12.15am in Argentine Primera Division

We said: Deportivo Riestra 1-1 Velez Sarsfield

The hosts have struggled to create many chances in recent games, but it is difficult to see them losing given their strong home record. Additionally, Velez Sarsfield also struggled in the final third last time out, and it would not be surprising if Monday's match was low scoring. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Velez Sarsfield win with a probability of 46.37%. A draw had a probability of 29.3% and a win for Deportivo Riestra had a probability of 24.37%.

The most likely scoreline for a Velez Sarsfield win was 0-1 with a probability of 15.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.86%) and 1-2 (8.09%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.93%), while for a Deportivo Riestra win it was 1-0 (10.34%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.

Result
Deportivo RiestraDrawVelez Sarsfield
24.37% (-0.93 -0.93) 29.26% (-0.35 -0.35) 46.37% (1.279 1.28)
Both teams to score 39.94% (0.122 0.12)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
34.25% (0.518 0.52)65.76% (-0.518 -0.52)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
15.59% (0.356 0.36)84.41% (-0.357 -0.36)
Deportivo Riestra Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
55.97% (-0.573 -0.57)44.03% (0.573 0.57)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
19.86% (-0.474 -0.47)80.15% (0.47499999999999 0.47)
Velez Sarsfield Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.36% (0.93899999999999 0.94)28.64% (-0.939 -0.94)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.55% (1.157 1.16)64.45% (-1.157 -1.16)
Score Analysis
    Deportivo Riestra 24.36%
    Velez Sarsfield 46.36%
    Draw 29.26%
Deportivo RiestraDrawVelez Sarsfield
1-0 @ 10.34% (-0.37 -0.37)
2-1 @ 5.31% (-0.133 -0.13)
2-0 @ 4.24% (-0.221 -0.22)
3-1 @ 1.45% (-0.06 -0.06)
3-0 @ 1.16% (-0.08 -0.08)
3-2 @ 0.91% (-0.013 -0.01)
Other @ 0.96%
Total : 24.36%
1-1 @ 12.93% (-0.11 -0.11)
0-0 @ 12.61% (-0.24 -0.24)
2-2 @ 3.32% (0.0050000000000003 0.01)
Other @ 0.4%
Total : 29.26%
0-1 @ 15.76% (0.11 0.11)
0-2 @ 9.86% (0.321 0.32)
1-2 @ 8.09% (0.139 0.14)
0-3 @ 4.11% (0.236 0.24)
1-3 @ 3.37% (0.143 0.14)
2-3 @ 1.38% (0.037 0.04)
0-4 @ 1.28% (0.105 0.11)
1-4 @ 1.05% (0.07 0.07)
Other @ 1.46%
Total : 46.36%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Platense 0-0 Deportivo Riestra
Friday, November 8 at 12am in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Deportivo Riestra 0-0 Talleres
Saturday, November 2 at 6pm in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Boca Juniors 1-1 Deportivo Riestra
Sunday, October 27 at 10pm in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Deportivo Riestra 2-0 Tucuman
Friday, October 18 at 7pm in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Independiente 3-1 Deportivo Riestra
Sunday, October 6 at 7pm in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Deportivo Riestra 3-3 Newell's OB
Friday, September 27 at 7pm in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Velez Sarsfield 1-0 Tigre
Friday, November 8 at 12.15am in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Argentinos Jrs 1-1 Velez Sarsfield
Saturday, November 2 at 1am in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Velez Sarsfield 1-1 Belgrano
Sunday, October 27 at 1am in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: River Plate 1-1 Velez Sarsfield
Saturday, October 19 at 1am in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Velez Sarsfield 1-0 Racing
Saturday, October 5 at 7pm in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Rosario 3-0 Velez Sarsfield
Wednesday, October 2 at 12.30am in Argentine Primera Division


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