Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Velez Sarsfield win with a probability of 50.13%. A draw had a probability of 26.2% and a win for Independiente had a probability of 23.62%.
The most likely scoreline for a Velez Sarsfield win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.86%) and 2-1 (9.17%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.34%), while for a Independiente win it was 0-1 (8.31%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood.
