Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Velez Sarsfield win with a probability of 39.5%. A win for Estudiantes had a probability of 32.53% and a draw had a probability of 28%.
The most likely scoreline for a Velez Sarsfield win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.16%) and 0-2 (7.42%). The likeliest Estudiantes win was 1-0 (10.57%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.13%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.6% likelihood.