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Copa Diego Maradona | Second Phase
Nov 28, 2021 at 12.30am UK
Estadio Único

Estudiantes
1 - 0
Velez Sarsfield

Diaz (35' pen.)
Rogel (37'), Zapiola (41'), Diaz (56'), Godoy (77')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Janson (17'), Gianetti (28'), Guidara (33'), Mancuello (37')
Coverage of the Copa Diego Maradona Second Phase clash between Estudiantes and Velez Sarsfield.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Velez Sarsfield win with a probability of 39.5%. A win for Estudiantes had a probability of 32.53% and a draw had a probability of 28%.

The most likely scoreline for a Velez Sarsfield win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.16%) and 0-2 (7.42%). The likeliest Estudiantes win was 1-0 (10.57%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.13%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.6% likelihood.

Result
EstudiantesDrawVelez Sarsfield
32.53%27.97%39.5%
Both teams to score 47.45%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
41.52%58.48%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.93%79.07%
Estudiantes Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.71%33.29%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.1%69.9%
Velez Sarsfield Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.13%28.87%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.26%64.74%
Score Analysis
    Estudiantes 32.53%
    Velez Sarsfield 39.49%
    Draw 27.97%
EstudiantesDrawVelez Sarsfield
1-0 @ 10.57%
2-1 @ 7.22%
2-0 @ 5.81%
3-1 @ 2.65%
3-0 @ 2.13%
3-2 @ 1.65%
Other @ 2.49%
Total : 32.53%
1-1 @ 13.13%
0-0 @ 9.61%
2-2 @ 4.49%
Other @ 0.74%
Total : 27.97%
0-1 @ 11.93%
1-2 @ 8.16%
0-2 @ 7.42%
1-3 @ 3.38%
0-3 @ 3.07%
2-3 @ 1.86%
1-4 @ 1.05%
0-4 @ 0.95%
Other @ 1.68%
Total : 39.49%

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