Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Velez Sarsfield win with a probability of 48.76%. A draw had a probability of 27.1% and a win for Argentinos Juniors had a probability of 24.19%.
The most likely scoreline for a Velez Sarsfield win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.79%) and 2-1 (8.91%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.59%), while for an Argentinos Juniors win it was 0-1 (8.9%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Velez Sarsfield would win this match.