While Yemen will come into this match with confidence after beating Sri Lanka last month, they face a step up in class here against a Bahrain side that have had the ideal preparation ahead of this competition. The visitors have never lost to this opponent, and we expect them to claim another victory in this one.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bahrain win with a probability of 67.51%. A draw had a probability of 20.5% and a win for Yemen had a probability of 11.94%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bahrain win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (13.9%) and 1-2 (9.25%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.56%), while for a Yemen win it was 1-0 (4.95%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 13.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 0-2 win for Bahrain in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Bahrain.
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