SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bahrain win with a probability of 61.41%. A draw had a probability of 23% and a win for Philippines had a probability of 15.58%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bahrain win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.57%) and 2-1 (9.44%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.74%), while for a Philippines win it was 0-1 (6.12%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 14.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Bahrain in this match.
| Result | ||
| Bahrain | Draw | Philippines |
61.41% ( -0.62) | 23.01% ( 0.35) | 15.58% ( 0.27) |
| Both teams to score 43.67% ( -0.39) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 45.79% ( -0.86) | 54.2% ( 0.86) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.39% ( -0.72) | 75.61% ( 0.72) |
| Bahrain Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.73% ( -0.52) | 17.27% ( 0.52) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 52.4% ( -0.92) | 47.6% ( 0.92) |
| Philippines Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 52.79% ( -0.14) | 47.2% ( 0.14) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 17.36% ( -0.11) | 82.64% ( 0.11) |
| Score Analysis |
| Bahrain | Draw | Philippines |
| 1-0 @ 14.31% ( 0.23) 2-0 @ 12.57% ( -0.01)2-1 @ 9.44% ( -0.05)3-0 @ 7.36% ( -0.14)3-1 @ 5.53% ( -0.12)4-0 @ 3.23% ( -0.12)4-1 @ 2.43% ( -0.1)3-2 @ 2.07% ( -0.06)5-0 @ 1.14% ( -0.06)4-2 @ 0.91% ( -0.04)Other @ 2.42% Total : 61.4% | 1-1 @ 10.74% ( 0.13) 0-0 @ 8.15% ( 0.27)2-2 @ 3.54% ( -0.03)Other @ 0.56% Total : 23% | 0-1 @ 6.12% ( 0.18) 1-2 @ 4.03% ( 0.03)0-2 @ 2.3% ( 0.06)1-3 @ 1.01% ( 0)Other @ 2.12% Total : 15.58% |
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