SM
| Current Group C Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Iran | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Hong Kong | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | United Arab Emirates | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | Palestine | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Current Group C Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Iran | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Hong Kong | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | United Arab Emirates | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | Palestine | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Iran win with a probability of 66.53%. A draw had a probability of 23.1% and a win for Palestine had a probability of 10.34%.
The most likely scoreline for a Iran win was 1-0 with a probability of 19.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (16.15%) and 3-0 (8.96%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (11.66%), while for a Palestine win it was 0-1 (5.65%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Iran would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Iran | Draw | Palestine |
66.53% ( 0.06) | 23.14% ( -0.03) | 10.34% ( -0.03) |
| Both teams to score 31.13% ( -0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 36.36% ( 0.04) | 63.64% ( -0.04) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 17.07% ( 0.03) | 82.93% ( -0.03) |
| Iran Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.07% ( 0.04) | 18.93% ( -0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 49.57% ( 0.07) | 50.44% ( -0.06) |
| Palestine Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 38.4% ( -0.03) | 61.6% ( 0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 8.56% ( -0.01) | 91.45% ( 0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| Iran | Draw | Palestine |
| 1-0 @ 19.4% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 16.15% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 8.96% ( 0.02)2-1 @ 7.83% ( -0)3-1 @ 4.34% ( 0)4-0 @ 3.73% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 1.81% ( 0)5-0 @ 1.24% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 1.05% Other @ 2.01% Total : 66.52% | 0-0 @ 11.66% ( -0.01) 1-1 @ 9.4% ( -0.01)2-2 @ 1.9% ( -0)Other @ 0.18% Total : 23.14% | 0-1 @ 5.65% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 2.28% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 1.37% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.04% Total : 10.34% |
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