SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Iran win with a probability of 42.69%. A win for Jordan had a probability of 30.3% and a draw had a probability of 27%.
The most likely scoreline for a Iran win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.68%) and 0-2 (7.9%). The likeliest Jordan win was 1-0 (9.43%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.79%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Iran would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Jordan | Draw | Iran |
30.3% ( 0.04) | 27.01% ( -0.02) | 42.69% ( -0.02) |
| Both teams to score 49.5% ( 0.07) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 44.47% ( 0.08) | 55.53% ( -0.08) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.29% ( 0.07) | 76.7% ( -0.07) |
| Jordan Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.66% ( 0.08) | 33.34% ( -0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.04% ( 0.08) | 69.96% ( -0.08) |
| Iran Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.26% ( 0.03) | 25.74% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.33% ( 0.04) | 60.67% ( -0.03) |
| Score Analysis |
| Jordan | Draw | Iran |
| 1-0 @ 9.43% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 7.03% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 5.18% ( 0)3-1 @ 2.57% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 1.9% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 1.75% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.45% Total : 30.3% | 1-1 @ 12.79% 0-0 @ 8.58% ( -0.03)2-2 @ 4.77% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.87% Total : 27.01% | 0-1 @ 11.64% ( -0.03) 1-2 @ 8.68% ( 0)0-2 @ 7.9% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 3.93% ( 0)0-3 @ 3.58% ( -0)2-3 @ 2.16% ( 0.01)1-4 @ 1.33% ( 0)0-4 @ 1.21% Other @ 2.26% Total : 42.68% |
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