SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sturm Graz win with a probability of 46.51%. A win for BW Linz had a probability of 27.51% and a draw had a probability of 26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sturm Graz win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.15%) and 0-2 (8.5%). The likeliest BW Linz win was 1-0 (8.33%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.34%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sturm Graz would win this match.
| Result | ||
| BW Linz | Draw | Sturm Graz |
27.51% ( -0.01) | 25.98% ( 0.01) | 46.51% ( -0) |
| Both teams to score 50.96% ( -0.05) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.13% ( -0.06) | 52.87% ( 0.06) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.51% ( -0.05) | 74.48% ( 0.05) |
| BW Linz Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.93% ( -0.04) | 34.07% ( 0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.24% ( -0.04) | 70.75% ( 0.04) |
| Sturm Graz Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.29% ( -0.03) | 22.71% ( 0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.63% ( -0.04) | 56.37% ( 0.04) |
| Score Analysis |
| BW Linz | Draw | Sturm Graz |
| 1-0 @ 8.33% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 6.65% ( -0)2-0 @ 4.49% ( 0)3-1 @ 2.39% ( -0)3-2 @ 1.77% ( -0)3-0 @ 1.61% ( -0)Other @ 2.28% Total : 27.51% | 1-1 @ 12.34% 0-0 @ 7.74% ( 0.02)2-2 @ 4.93% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.97% Total : 25.97% | 0-1 @ 11.46% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 9.15% ( -0)0-2 @ 8.5% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 4.52% ( -0)0-3 @ 4.2% 2-3 @ 2.44% ( -0.01)1-4 @ 1.68% ( -0)0-4 @ 1.56% ( -0)2-4 @ 0.9% ( -0)Other @ 2.09% Total : 46.5% |
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