SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gomel win with a probability of 42.6%. A win for Arsenal Dzerzhinsk had a probability of 32.47% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gomel win was 0-1 with a probability of 9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.97%) and 0-2 (6.88%). The likeliest Arsenal Dzerzhinsk win was 1-0 (7.67%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.73%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Arsenal Dzerzhinsk | Draw | Gomel |
32.47% ( -0.76) | 24.93% ( -0.09) | 42.6% ( 0.85) |
| Both teams to score 57.06% ( 0.04) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.84% ( 0.16) | 46.16% ( -0.16) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.54% ( 0.15) | 68.46% ( -0.15) |
| Arsenal Dzerzhinsk Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.85% ( -0.39) | 27.14% ( 0.4) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.46% ( -0.52) | 62.54% ( 0.52) |
| Gomel Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.32% ( 0.47) | 21.67% ( -0.47) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.18% ( 0.72) | 54.81% ( -0.71) |
| Score Analysis |
| Arsenal Dzerzhinsk | Draw | Gomel |
| 1-0 @ 7.67% ( -0.14) 2-1 @ 7.65% ( -0.12)2-0 @ 5% ( -0.15)3-1 @ 3.33% ( -0.09)3-2 @ 2.54% ( -0.03)3-0 @ 2.18% ( -0.09)4-1 @ 1.08% ( -0.04)Other @ 3.02% Total : 32.47% | 1-1 @ 11.73% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 5.88% ( -0.04)2-2 @ 5.85% ( -0)3-3 @ 1.3% ( 0)Other @ 0.18% Total : 24.93% | 0-1 @ 9% ( 0.07) 1-2 @ 8.97% ( 0.09)0-2 @ 6.88% ( 0.15)1-3 @ 4.57% ( 0.11)0-3 @ 3.51% ( 0.12)2-3 @ 2.98% ( 0.04)1-4 @ 1.75% ( 0.07)0-4 @ 1.34% ( 0.07)2-4 @ 1.14% ( 0.03)Other @ 2.48% Total : 42.6% |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups:
