Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arsenal Dzerzhinsk win with a probability of 36.85%. A win for Isloch had a probability of 35.17% and a draw had a probability of 28%.
The most likely scoreline for an Arsenal Dzerzhinsk win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.85%) and 2-0 (6.78%). The likeliest Isloch win was 0-1 (11.02%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.16%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood.
