SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 14 | Dnepr Mogilev | 10 | -12 | 5 |
| 15 | Arsenal Dzerzhinsk | 10 | -10 | 4 |
| 16 | Dinamo Brest | 10 | -11 | 4 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | BATE Borisov | 9 | 15 | 23 |
| 2 | Energetik-BGU | 10 | 15 | 22 |
| 3 | Dinamo Minsk | 10 | 6 | 21 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arsenal Dzerzhinsk win with a probability of 40.61%. A win for Energetik-BGU had a probability of 32.38% and a draw had a probability of 27%.
The most likely scoreline for an Arsenal Dzerzhinsk win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.5%) and 2-0 (7.36%). The likeliest Energetik-BGU win was 0-1 (9.66%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.81%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Arsenal Dzerzhinsk | Draw | Energetik-BGU |
40.61% ( 1.17) | 27.01% ( 0.11) | 32.38% ( -1.28) |
| Both teams to score 50.29% ( -0.66) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 45.11% ( -0.69) | 54.89% ( 0.69) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.82% ( -0.57) | 76.18% ( 0.58) |
| Arsenal Dzerzhinsk Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.45% ( 0.32) | 26.55% ( -0.32) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.24% ( 0.43) | 61.75% ( -0.43) |
| Energetik-BGU Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.46% ( -1.2) | 31.54% ( 1.2) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.07% ( -1.41) | 67.93% ( 1.41) |
| Score Analysis |
| Arsenal Dzerzhinsk | Draw | Energetik-BGU |
| 1-0 @ 11.1% ( 0.39) 2-1 @ 8.5% ( 0.1)2-0 @ 7.36% ( 0.33)3-1 @ 3.76% ( 0.08)3-0 @ 3.26% ( 0.17)3-2 @ 2.17% ( -0.03)4-1 @ 1.25% ( 0.04)4-0 @ 1.08% ( 0.07)Other @ 2.14% Total : 40.6% | 1-1 @ 12.81% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 8.37% ( 0.22)2-2 @ 4.9% ( -0.11)Other @ 0.92% Total : 27.01% | 0-1 @ 9.66% ( -0.06) 1-2 @ 7.39% ( -0.23)0-2 @ 5.57% ( -0.23)1-3 @ 2.84% ( -0.19)0-3 @ 2.14% ( -0.16)2-3 @ 1.89% ( -0.11)Other @ 2.88% Total : 32.38% |
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