SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 13 | Vitebsk | 18 | -12 | 14 |
| 14 | Arsenal Dzerzhinsk | 18 | -16 | 13 |
| 15 | Dinamo Brest | 17 | -15 | 11 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 8 | Neman | 17 | 4 | 25 |
| 9 | Torpedo-BelAZ | 18 | 2 | 25 |
| 10 | Slavia Mozyr | 18 | -3 | 24 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Torpedo-BelAZ win with a probability of 52.11%. A draw had a probability of 26.5% and a win for Arsenal Dzerzhinsk had a probability of 21.42%.
The most likely scoreline for a Torpedo-BelAZ win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.73%) and 1-2 (9.03%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.23%), while for an Arsenal Dzerzhinsk win it was 1-0 (8.3%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Torpedo-BelAZ would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Arsenal Dzerzhinsk | Draw | Torpedo-BelAZ |
21.42% ( -0.08) | 26.47% ( -0) | 52.11% ( 0.08) |
| Both teams to score 43.83% ( -0.09) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 40.79% ( -0.07) | 59.21% ( 0.07) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 20.37% ( -0.06) | 79.63% ( 0.05) |
| Arsenal Dzerzhinsk Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 56.84% ( -0.13) | 43.16% ( 0.12) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 20.58% ( -0.11) | 79.42% ( 0.1) |
| Torpedo-BelAZ Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.11% ( 0) | 22.88% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.37% ( 0.01) | 56.63% ( -0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| Arsenal Dzerzhinsk | Draw | Torpedo-BelAZ |
| 1-0 @ 8.3% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 5.14% ( -0.02)2-0 @ 3.49% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 1.44% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 1.06% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 0.98% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.01% Total : 21.42% | 1-1 @ 12.23% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 9.88% ( 0.02)2-2 @ 3.79% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.56% Total : 26.46% | 0-1 @ 14.56% ( 0.04) 0-2 @ 10.73% ( 0.03)1-2 @ 9.03% ( -0)0-3 @ 5.28% ( 0.02)1-3 @ 4.44% ( -0)0-4 @ 1.95% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 1.86% ( -0.01)1-4 @ 1.64% Other @ 2.62% Total : 52.09% |
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