Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arsenal Dzerzhinsk win with a probability of 44.85%. A win for Vitebsk had a probability of 28.98% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.
The most likely scoreline for an Arsenal Dzerzhinsk win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.02%) and 2-0 (8.12%). The likeliest Vitebsk win was 0-1 (8.59%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.44%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood.
