SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Slutsk win with a probability of 47.68%. A draw had a probability of 26.4% and a win for Naftan had a probability of 25.89%.
The most likely scoreline for a Slutsk win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.11%) and 2-1 (9.09%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.49%), while for a Naftan win it was 0-1 (8.58%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Slutsk would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Slutsk | Draw | Naftan |
47.68% ( -0.06) | 26.43% ( 0.04) | 25.89% ( 0.02) |
| Both teams to score 48.39% ( -0.09) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 44.4% ( -0.12) | 55.6% ( 0.12) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.24% ( -0.1) | 76.76% ( 0.1) |
| Slutsk Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.66% ( -0.08) | 23.34% ( 0.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.71% ( -0.12) | 57.29% ( 0.12) |
| Naftan Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.12% ( -0.05) | 36.88% ( 0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 26.33% ( -0.05) | 73.67% ( 0.05) |
| Score Analysis |
| Slutsk | Draw | Naftan |
| 1-0 @ 12.52% ( 0.03) 2-0 @ 9.11% 2-1 @ 9.09% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 4.42% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 4.41% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 2.2% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 1.61% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 1.6% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.72% Total : 47.68% | 1-1 @ 12.49% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 8.61% ( 0.04)2-2 @ 4.53% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.8% Total : 26.43% | 0-1 @ 8.58% ( 0.03) 1-2 @ 6.23% ( -0)0-2 @ 4.28% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 2.07% ( -0)2-3 @ 1.51% ( -0)0-3 @ 1.42% ( 0)Other @ 1.79% Total : 25.89% |
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