SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Smorgon win with a probability of 44.32%. A win for Naftan had a probability of 30.69% and a draw had a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Smorgon win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.13%) and 2-0 (7.33%). The likeliest Naftan win was 0-1 (7.63%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.8%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Smorgon in this match.
| Result | ||
| Smorgon | Draw | Naftan |
44.32% ( -0.2) | 24.99% ( 0.18) | 30.69% ( 0.03) |
| Both teams to score 56.07% ( -0.6) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.89% ( -0.78) | 47.11% ( 0.79) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.65% ( -0.73) | 69.35% ( 0.74) |
| Smorgon Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.72% ( -0.41) | 21.29% ( 0.42) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.78% ( -0.65) | 54.22% ( 0.66) |
| Naftan Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.23% ( -0.37) | 28.77% ( 0.38) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.39% ( -0.47) | 64.61% ( 0.48) |
| Score Analysis |
| Smorgon | Draw | Naftan |
| 1-0 @ 9.47% ( 0.19) 2-1 @ 9.13% ( -0.03)2-0 @ 7.33% ( 0.06)3-1 @ 4.71% ( -0.08)3-0 @ 3.78% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 2.93% ( -0.08)4-1 @ 1.82% ( -0.05)4-0 @ 1.46% ( -0.03)4-2 @ 1.14% ( -0.04)Other @ 2.55% Total : 44.32% | 1-1 @ 11.8% ( 0.12) 0-0 @ 6.12% ( 0.2)2-2 @ 5.69% ( -0.08)3-3 @ 1.22% ( -0.05)Other @ 0.16% Total : 24.99% | 0-1 @ 7.63% ( 0.17) 1-2 @ 7.35% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 4.75% ( 0.06)1-3 @ 3.05% ( -0.04)2-3 @ 2.36% ( -0.06)0-3 @ 1.97% ( 0)1-4 @ 0.95% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.61% Total : 30.69% |
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