SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Naftan win with a probability of 41.02%. A win for Belshina had a probability of 32.69% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Naftan win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.67%) and 2-0 (7.17%). The likeliest Belshina win was 0-1 (9.01%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.5%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Naftan | Draw | Belshina |
41.02% ( -0.01) | 26.29% ( -0) | 32.69% ( 0.02) |
| Both teams to score 52.63% ( 0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.06% ( 0.01) | 51.94% ( -0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.32% ( 0.01) | 73.68% ( -0.01) |
| Naftan Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.02% | 24.98% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.37% ( -0) | 59.63% ( 0) |
| Belshina Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.15% ( 0.02) | 29.85% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.06% ( 0.02) | 65.94% ( -0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| Naftan | Draw | Belshina |
| 1-0 @ 10.34% 2-1 @ 8.67% ( -0)2-0 @ 7.17% ( -0)3-1 @ 4.01% ( -0)3-0 @ 3.32% ( -0)3-2 @ 2.42% ( 0)4-1 @ 1.39% 4-0 @ 1.15% ( -0)Other @ 2.55% Total : 41.02% | 1-1 @ 12.5% 0-0 @ 7.46% ( -0)2-2 @ 5.24% ( 0)3-3 @ 0.98% ( 0)Other @ 0.11% Total : 26.29% | 0-1 @ 9.01% ( -0) 1-2 @ 7.56% ( 0)0-2 @ 5.45% ( 0)1-3 @ 3.05% ( 0)0-3 @ 2.2% ( 0)2-3 @ 2.11% ( 0)1-4 @ 0.92% ( 0)Other @ 2.39% Total : 32.69% |
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