SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Neman win with a probability of 77.36%. A draw had a probability of 14.7% and a win for Belshina had a probability of 7.96%.
The most likely scoreline for a Neman win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (10.83%) and 1-0 (10.2%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.98%), while for a Belshina win it was 0-1 (2.77%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Neman would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Neman | Draw | Belshina |
77.36% ( -0.18) | 14.68% ( 0.1) | 7.96% ( 0.07) |
| Both teams to score 45.57% ( -0.04) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 62.18% ( -0.24) | 37.82% ( 0.24) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 39.93% ( -0.26) | 60.08% ( 0.26) |
| Neman Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 91.99% ( -0.09) | 8.01% ( 0.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 71.76% ( -0.24) | 28.24% ( 0.24) |
| Belshina Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 49.54% ( 0.01) | 50.46% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 15.03% ( 0.01) | 84.97% ( -0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| Neman | Draw | Belshina |
| 2-0 @ 12.88% ( 0.03) 3-0 @ 10.83% ( -0.03)1-0 @ 10.2% ( 0.07)2-1 @ 8.81% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 7.41% ( -0.02)4-0 @ 6.84% ( -0.05)4-1 @ 4.68% ( -0.03)5-0 @ 3.45% ( -0.04)3-2 @ 2.54% ( -0)5-1 @ 2.36% ( -0.03)4-2 @ 1.6% ( -0.01)6-0 @ 1.45% ( -0.02)6-1 @ 0.99% ( -0.02)Other @ 3.31% Total : 77.35% | 1-1 @ 6.98% ( 0.05) 0-0 @ 4.04% ( 0.05)2-2 @ 3.01% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.64% Total : 14.68% | 0-1 @ 2.77% ( 0.03) 1-2 @ 2.39% ( 0.02)0-2 @ 0.95% ( 0.01)Other @ 1.86% Total : 7.96% |
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