SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a BATE Borisov win with a probability of 60.2%. A draw had a probability of 21.8% and a win for Slutsk had a probability of 18.01%.
The most likely scoreline for a BATE Borisov win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.52%) and 2-1 (9.92%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.34%), while for a Slutsk win it was 0-1 (5.39%). The actual scoreline of 4-3 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that BATE Borisov would win this match.
| Result | ||
| BATE Borisov | Draw | Slutsk |
60.2% ( 0.02) | 21.79% ( 0.03) | 18.01% ( -0.04) |
| Both teams to score 52.1% ( -0.17) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.53% ( -0.18) | 45.47% ( 0.18) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.2% ( -0.17) | 67.8% ( 0.17) |
| BATE Borisov Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.32% ( -0.06) | 14.67% ( 0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 57.16% ( -0.1) | 42.83% ( 0.1) |
| Slutsk Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.06% ( -0.16) | 38.93% ( 0.16) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 24.34% ( -0.15) | 75.66% ( 0.15) |
| Score Analysis |
| BATE Borisov | Draw | Slutsk |
| 1-0 @ 10.96% ( 0.06) 2-0 @ 10.52% ( 0.04)2-1 @ 9.92% ( -0)3-0 @ 6.73% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 6.35% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 3.23% 4-1 @ 3.05% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 2.99% ( -0.02)4-2 @ 1.44% ( -0.01)5-0 @ 1.24% ( -0)5-1 @ 1.17% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.6% Total : 60.19% | 1-1 @ 10.34% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 5.71% ( 0.04)2-2 @ 4.68% ( -0.02)3-3 @ 0.94% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.12% Total : 21.79% | 0-1 @ 5.39% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 4.88% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 2.54% ( -0)1-3 @ 1.53% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 1.47% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.19% Total : 18.01% |
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