Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a BATE Borisov win with a probability of 78.51%. A draw had a probability of 14.2% and a win for Sputnik had a probability of 7.33%.
The most likely scoreline for a BATE Borisov win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (11.24%) and 1-0 (10.29%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.74%), while for a Sputnik win it was 0-1 (2.63%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that BATE Borisov would win this match.