SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Neman win with a probability of 61.21%. A draw had a probability of 21.7% and a win for Belshina had a probability of 17.05%.
The most likely scoreline for a Neman win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.04%) and 1-2 (9.88%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.34%), while for a Belshina win it was 1-0 (5.41%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 11% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Neman would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Belshina | Draw | Neman |
17.05% ( 0.03) | 21.75% ( 0.02) | 61.21% ( -0.05) |
| Both teams to score 50.36% ( -0) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.16% ( -0.03) | 46.84% ( 0.03) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.91% ( -0.03) | 69.09% ( 0.03) |
| Belshina Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 59.11% ( 0.02) | 40.89% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 22.55% ( 0.01) | 77.45% ( -0.02) |
| Neman Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.19% ( -0.03) | 14.81% ( 0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 56.92% ( -0.05) | 43.08% ( 0.05) |
| Score Analysis |
| Belshina | Draw | Neman |
| 1-0 @ 5.41% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 4.63% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 2.42% ( 0)3-1 @ 1.38% ( 0)3-2 @ 1.32% ( 0)Other @ 1.89% Total : 17.05% | 1-1 @ 10.34% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 6.05% ( 0.01)2-2 @ 4.42% ( 0)Other @ 0.94% Total : 21.75% | 0-1 @ 11.56% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 11.04% 1-2 @ 9.88% ( -0)0-3 @ 7.03% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 6.29% ( -0.01)0-4 @ 3.36% ( -0.01)1-4 @ 3% ( -0)2-3 @ 2.81% ( -0)2-4 @ 1.34% ( -0)0-5 @ 1.28% ( -0)1-5 @ 1.15% ( -0)Other @ 2.45% Total : 61.2% |
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