SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Neman win with a probability of 42.45%. A win for Energetik-BGU had a probability of 29.96% and a draw had a probability of 27.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Neman win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.52%) and 2-0 (8.07%). The likeliest Energetik-BGU win was 0-1 (9.89%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.97%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Neman would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Neman | Draw | Energetik-BGU |
42.45% ( 0.11) | 27.59% ( -0.05) | 29.96% ( -0.05) |
| Both teams to score 47.65% ( 0.13) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 42.19% ( 0.18) | 57.8% ( -0.17) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 21.46% ( 0.14) | 78.53% ( -0.14) |
| Neman Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.08% ( 0.14) | 26.91% ( -0.14) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.76% ( 0.18) | 62.24% ( -0.18) |
| Energetik-BGU Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.2% ( 0.05) | 34.79% ( -0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.47% ( 0.06) | 71.53% ( -0.05) |
| Score Analysis |
| Neman | Draw | Energetik-BGU |
| 1-0 @ 12.29% ( -0.03) 2-1 @ 8.52% ( 0.02)2-0 @ 8.07% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 3.73% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 3.53% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 1.97% ( 0.02)4-1 @ 1.22% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 1.16% ( 0.01)Other @ 1.97% Total : 42.45% | 1-1 @ 12.97% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 9.37% ( -0.06)2-2 @ 4.5% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.76% Total : 27.59% | 0-1 @ 9.89% ( -0.05) 1-2 @ 6.85% ( 0)0-2 @ 5.22% ( -0.02)1-3 @ 2.41% ( 0)0-3 @ 1.84% ( -0)2-3 @ 1.58% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.18% Total : 29.96% |
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