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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dinamo Minsk win with a probability of 68.46%. A draw had a probability of 17.8% and a win for Smorgon had a probability of 13.73%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dinamo Minsk win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.67%) and 1-0 (8.53%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.2%), while for a Smorgon win it was 1-2 (3.94%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Dinamo Minsk would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Dinamo Minsk | Draw | Smorgon |
68.46% ( -0.62) | 17.81% ( 0.32) | 13.73% ( 0.3) |
| Both teams to score 55.92% ( -0.35) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 64.47% ( -0.85) | 35.53% ( 0.85) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 42.42% ( -0.95) | 57.58% ( 0.95) |
| Dinamo Minsk Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 90.55% ( -0.37) | 9.45% ( 0.37) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 68.25% ( -0.87) | 31.75% ( 0.87) |
| Smorgon Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.76% ( -0.13) | 38.24% ( 0.13) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 25% ( -0.13) | 75% ( 0.13) |
| Score Analysis |
| Dinamo Minsk | Draw | Smorgon |
| 2-0 @ 10.05% ( 0.09) 2-1 @ 9.67% ( 0.06)1-0 @ 8.53% ( 0.22)3-0 @ 7.91% ( -0.05)3-1 @ 7.6% ( -0.08)4-0 @ 4.66% ( -0.11)4-1 @ 4.48% ( -0.12)3-2 @ 3.65% ( -0.05)5-0 @ 2.2% ( -0.09)4-2 @ 2.16% ( -0.07)5-1 @ 2.12% ( -0.09)5-2 @ 1.02% ( -0.05)Other @ 4.42% Total : 68.46% | 1-1 @ 8.2% ( 0.19) 2-2 @ 4.65% ( 0.01)0-0 @ 3.61% ( 0.15)3-3 @ 1.17% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.18% Total : 17.81% | 1-2 @ 3.94% ( 0.07) 0-1 @ 3.47% ( 0.13)0-2 @ 1.67% ( 0.06)2-3 @ 1.49% ( -0)1-3 @ 1.26% ( 0.02)Other @ 1.89% Total : 13.73% |
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