Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Smorgon win with a probability of 37.87%. A win for Energetik-BGU had a probability of 37.12% and a draw had a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Smorgon win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.27%) and 0-2 (5.93%). The likeliest Energetik-BGU win was 2-1 (8.32%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.73%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Smorgon would win this match.
Result | ||
Energetik-BGU | Draw | Smorgon |
37.12% ( -0.08) | 25% ( -0.04) | 37.87% ( 0.11) |
Both teams to score 57.75% ( 0.12) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
54.33% ( 0.16) | 45.67% ( -0.17) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
32% ( 0.15) | 67.99% ( -0.16) |
Energetik-BGU Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.79% ( 0.03) | 24.2% ( -0.03) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
41.46% ( 0.04) | 58.54% ( -0.05) |
Smorgon Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.19% ( 0.13) | 23.8% ( -0.14) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
42.02% ( 0.19) | 57.97% ( -0.2) |
Score Analysis |
Energetik-BGU | Draw | Smorgon |
2-1 @ 8.32% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 8.17% ( -0.05) 2-0 @ 5.8% ( -0.03) 3-1 @ 3.94% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.82% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 2.74% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 1.4% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 0.97% ( -0) Other @ 1.96% Total : 37.12% | 1-1 @ 11.73% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 5.97% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 5.76% ( -0.04) 3-3 @ 1.35% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.19% Total : 25% | 1-2 @ 8.42% ( 0.02) 0-1 @ 8.27% ( -0.03) 0-2 @ 5.93% ( 0) 1-3 @ 4.03% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 2.86% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 2.84% ( 0.01) 1-4 @ 1.45% ( 0.01) 2-4 @ 1.03% ( 0.01) 0-4 @ 1.02% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.03% Total : 37.87% |
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