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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dinamo Minsk win with a probability of 62.05%. A draw had a probability of 22.7% and a win for Smorgon had a probability of 15.22%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dinamo Minsk win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (12.67%) and 1-2 (9.45%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.62%), while for a Smorgon win it was 1-0 (5.98%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Smorgon | Draw | Dinamo Minsk |
15.22% ( 0.19) | 22.73% ( 0.15) | 62.05% ( -0.33) |
| Both teams to score 43.68% ( -0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.23% ( -0.25) | 53.76% ( 0.25) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.76% ( -0.21) | 75.24% ( 0.21) |
| Smorgon Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 52.56% ( 0.11) | 47.44% ( -0.11) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 17.18% ( 0.08) | 82.82% ( -0.08) |
| Dinamo Minsk Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.11% ( -0.2) | 16.89% ( 0.21) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 53.07% ( -0.36) | 46.93% ( 0.37) |
| Score Analysis |
| Smorgon | Draw | Dinamo Minsk |
| 1-0 @ 5.98% ( 0.08) 2-1 @ 3.96% ( 0.04)2-0 @ 2.23% ( 0.04)3-1 @ 0.99% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.07% Total : 15.22% | 1-1 @ 10.62% ( 0.06) 0-0 @ 8.01% ( 0.08)2-2 @ 3.52% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.56% Total : 22.72% | 0-1 @ 14.25% ( 0.05) 0-2 @ 12.67% ( -0.05)1-2 @ 9.45% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 7.51% ( -0.08)1-3 @ 5.6% ( -0.04)0-4 @ 3.34% ( -0.06)1-4 @ 2.49% ( -0.04)2-3 @ 2.09% ( -0.01)0-5 @ 1.19% ( -0.03)2-4 @ 0.93% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.53% Total : 62.05% |
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