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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gomel win with a probability of 53.6%. A win for Smorgon had a probability of 24.04% and a draw had a probability of 22.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gomel win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.53%) and 0-2 (8.1%). The likeliest Smorgon win was 2-1 (6.18%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.26%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Gomel would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Smorgon | Draw | Gomel |
24.04% ( -0.03) | 22.35% ( 0.01) | 53.6% ( 0.01) |
| Both teams to score 59.52% ( -0.08) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 59.95% ( -0.1) | 40.05% ( 0.1) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 37.58% ( -0.1) | 62.41% ( 0.1) |
| Smorgon Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70% ( -0.07) | 30% ( 0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.88% ( -0.09) | 66.12% ( 0.09) |
| Gomel Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.03% ( -0.03) | 14.97% ( 0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 56.6% ( -0.06) | 43.4% ( 0.06) |
| Score Analysis |
| Smorgon | Draw | Gomel |
| 2-1 @ 6.18% ( -0) 1-0 @ 5.41% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 3.26% ( 0)3-1 @ 2.48% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 2.36% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 1.31% ( -0)Other @ 3.05% Total : 24.04% | 1-1 @ 10.26% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 5.87% ( -0.01)0-0 @ 4.49% ( 0.02)3-3 @ 1.49% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.23% Total : 22.35% | 1-2 @ 9.75% ( 0) 0-1 @ 8.53% ( 0.03)0-2 @ 8.1% ( 0.02)1-3 @ 6.17% ( -0)0-3 @ 5.13% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 3.72% ( -0.01)1-4 @ 2.93% ( -0.01)0-4 @ 2.43% ( 0)2-4 @ 1.76% ( -0.01)1-5 @ 1.11% ( -0)0-5 @ 0.92% ( -0)Other @ 3.05% Total : 53.6% |
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