SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dinamo Brest win with a probability of 62.26%. A draw had a probability of 21.1% and a win for Arsenal Dzerzhinsk had a probability of 16.65%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dinamo Brest win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.85%) and 2-1 (9.92%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10%), while for an Arsenal Dzerzhinsk win it was 0-1 (5.05%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Dinamo Brest would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Dinamo Brest | Draw | Arsenal Dzerzhinsk |
62.26% ( 0.01) | 21.09% ( 0) | 16.65% ( -0.01) |
| Both teams to score 51.64% ( -0.05) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.3% ( -0.05) | 44.7% ( 0.05) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.94% ( -0.05) | 67.06% ( 0.04) |
| Dinamo Brest Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.21% ( -0.02) | 13.78% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 58.9% ( -0.03) | 41.1% ( 0.02) |
| Arsenal Dzerzhinsk Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 59.9% ( -0.04) | 40.09% ( 0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 23.26% ( -0.04) | 76.74% ( 0.03) |
| Score Analysis |
| Dinamo Brest | Draw | Arsenal Dzerzhinsk |
| 1-0 @ 10.95% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 10.85% ( 0.01)2-1 @ 9.92% ( -0)3-0 @ 7.17% ( 0)3-1 @ 6.55% ( -0)4-0 @ 3.55% 4-1 @ 3.25% ( -0)3-2 @ 2.99% ( -0)4-2 @ 1.48% ( -0)5-0 @ 1.41% ( -0)5-1 @ 1.29% ( -0)Other @ 2.85% Total : 62.25% | 1-1 @ 10% 0-0 @ 5.53% ( 0.01)2-2 @ 4.53% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 0.91% ( -0)Other @ 0.11% Total : 21.08% | 0-1 @ 5.05% ( 0) 1-2 @ 4.57% ( -0)0-2 @ 2.31% ( -0)1-3 @ 1.39% ( -0)2-3 @ 1.38% ( -0)Other @ 1.94% Total : 16.65% |
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