SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 14 | Dinamo Brest | 19 | -13 | 15 |
| 15 | Arsenal Dzerzhinsk | 20 | -18 | 13 |
| 16 | Dnepr Mogilev | 20 | -34 | 9 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 13 | Vitebsk | 20 | -10 | 18 |
| 14 | Dinamo Brest | 19 | -13 | 15 |
| 15 | Arsenal Dzerzhinsk | 20 | -18 | 13 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dinamo Brest win with a probability of 36.45%. A win for Arsenal Dzerzhinsk had a probability of 35.52% and a draw had a probability of 28%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dinamo Brest win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.79%) and 0-2 (6.69%). The likeliest Arsenal Dzerzhinsk win was 1-0 (11.13%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.17%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Dinamo Brest would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Arsenal Dzerzhinsk | Draw | Dinamo Brest |
35.52% ( 0.04) | 28.02% ( 0.03) | 36.45% ( -0.07) |
| Both teams to score 47.72% ( -0.09) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 41.66% ( -0.11) | 58.34% ( 0.12) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 21.04% ( -0.09) | 78.96% ( 0.09) |
| Arsenal Dzerzhinsk Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.79% ( -0.03) | 31.21% ( 0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.45% ( -0.03) | 67.56% ( 0.04) |
| Dinamo Brest Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.38% ( -0.1) | 30.63% ( 0.1) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.14% ( -0.12) | 66.87% ( 0.12) |
| Score Analysis |
| Arsenal Dzerzhinsk | Draw | Dinamo Brest |
| 1-0 @ 11.13% ( 0.04) 2-1 @ 7.67% ( -0)2-0 @ 6.48% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 2.98% ( -0)3-0 @ 2.52% ( 0)3-2 @ 1.76% ( -0.01)Other @ 3% Total : 35.52% | 1-1 @ 13.17% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 9.56% ( 0.04)2-2 @ 4.54% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.76% Total : 28.02% | 0-1 @ 11.31% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 7.79% ( -0.02)0-2 @ 6.69% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 3.07% ( -0.02)0-3 @ 2.64% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 1.79% ( -0.01)1-4 @ 0.91% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.24% Total : 36.45% |
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