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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dinamo Brest win with a probability of 54.2%. A draw had a probability of 23.7% and a win for Smorgon had a probability of 22.13%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dinamo Brest win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.77%) and 2-0 (9.58%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.24%), while for a Smorgon win it was 0-1 (6.47%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Dinamo Brest would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Dinamo Brest | Draw | Smorgon |
54.2% ( -0.05) | 23.67% ( 0.13) | 22.13% ( -0.09) |
| Both teams to score 52.69% ( -0.53) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.03% ( -0.65) | 47.96% ( 0.65) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.86% ( -0.6) | 70.14% ( 0.6) |
| Dinamo Brest Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.4% ( -0.26) | 17.6% ( 0.26) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 51.82% ( -0.45) | 48.17% ( 0.45) |
| Smorgon Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.94% ( -0.44) | 36.06% ( 0.44) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 27.16% ( -0.45) | 72.83% ( 0.45) |
| Score Analysis |
| Dinamo Brest | Draw | Smorgon |
| 1-0 @ 11.02% ( 0.2) 2-1 @ 9.77% ( -0.02)2-0 @ 9.58% ( 0.1)3-1 @ 5.66% ( -0.06)3-0 @ 5.55% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 2.89% ( -0.07)4-1 @ 2.46% ( -0.05)4-0 @ 2.41% ( -0.02)4-2 @ 1.25% ( -0.04)Other @ 3.62% Total : 54.19% | 1-1 @ 11.24% ( 0.07) 0-0 @ 6.35% ( 0.17)2-2 @ 4.98% ( -0.07)3-3 @ 0.98% ( -0.03)Other @ 0.12% Total : 23.67% | 0-1 @ 6.47% ( 0.1) 1-2 @ 5.74% ( -0.03)0-2 @ 3.3% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 1.95% ( -0.04)2-3 @ 1.69% ( -0.05)0-3 @ 1.12% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.85% Total : 22.13% |
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