SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Energetik-BGU win with a probability of 43.24%. A win for Smorgon had a probability of 30.7% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Energetik-BGU win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.92%) and 0-2 (7.62%). The likeliest Smorgon win was 1-0 (8.62%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.39%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Smorgon | Draw | Energetik-BGU |
30.7% ( -0.39) | 26.06% ( 0.07) | 43.24% ( 0.33) |
| Both teams to score 52.6% ( -0.39) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.37% ( -0.42) | 51.63% ( 0.42) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.58% ( -0.37) | 73.42% ( 0.37) |
| Smorgon Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.96% ( -0.49) | 31.05% ( 0.49) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.64% ( -0.57) | 67.36% ( 0.58) |
| Energetik-BGU Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.28% ( -0.02) | 23.72% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.15% ( -0.03) | 57.86% ( 0.03) |
| Score Analysis |
| Smorgon | Draw | Energetik-BGU |
| 1-0 @ 8.62% ( 0.03) 2-1 @ 7.25% ( -0.08)2-0 @ 5.04% ( -0.05)3-1 @ 2.83% ( -0.07)3-2 @ 2.03% ( -0.05)3-0 @ 1.97% ( -0.05)Other @ 2.97% Total : 30.7% | 1-1 @ 12.39% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 7.37% ( 0.12)2-2 @ 5.22% ( -0.06)3-3 @ 0.98% ( -0.03)Other @ 0.11% Total : 26.06% | 0-1 @ 10.59% ( 0.17) 1-2 @ 8.92% ( 0.02)0-2 @ 7.62% ( 0.12)1-3 @ 4.28% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 3.66% ( 0.05)2-3 @ 2.5% ( -0.03)1-4 @ 1.54% ( 0)0-4 @ 1.32% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.82% Total : 43.24% |
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