Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shakhtyor Soligorsk win with a probability of 53.58%. A draw had a probability of 24.4% and a win for Energetik-BGU had a probability of 22.06%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shakhtyor Soligorsk win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.9%) and 1-2 (9.64%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.58%), while for a Energetik-BGU win it was 1-0 (6.96%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 11.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Shakhtyor Soligorsk in this match.