Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Neman win with a probability of 54.1%. A draw had a probability of 24.3% and a win for Energetik-BGU had a probability of 21.62%.
The most likely scoreline for a Neman win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.05%) and 2-1 (9.66%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.54%), while for a Energetik-BGU win it was 0-1 (6.9%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood.
