Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Energetik-BGU win with a probability of 36.93%. A win for FC Minsk had a probability of 36.29% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Energetik-BGU win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.12%) and 2-0 (6.43%). The likeliest FC Minsk win was 0-1 (9.98%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.72%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Energetik-BGU would win this match.