Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Slutsk win with a probability of 41.5%. A win for FC Minsk had a probability of 32.02% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Slutsk win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.69%) and 0-2 (7.37%). The likeliest FC Minsk win was 1-0 (9.12%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.58%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood.