SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 6 | FC Minsk | 18 | 5 | 30 |
| 7 | Gomel | 17 | 2 | 26 |
| 8 | Torpedo-BelAZ | 18 | 2 | 25 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 10 | Slavia Mozyr | 17 | -3 | 23 |
| 11 | Belshina | 17 | -5 | 18 |
| 12 | Slutsk | 17 | -9 | 18 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gomel win with a probability of 47.89%. A win for Belshina had a probability of 26.93% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gomel win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.37%) and 2-0 (8.45%). The likeliest Belshina win was 0-1 (7.65%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.97%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 1.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Gomel | Draw | Belshina |
47.89% ( 3.28) | 25.18% ( -0.65) | 26.93% ( -2.63) |
| Both teams to score 52.98% ( 0.25) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.98% ( 1.17) | 50.01% ( -1.17) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28% ( 1.03) | 71.99% ( -1.03) |
| Gomel Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.09% ( 1.97) | 20.91% ( -1.97) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.37% ( 2.98) | 53.63% ( -2.99) |
| Belshina Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.99% ( -1.38) | 33.01% ( 1.38) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.4% ( -1.56) | 69.59% ( 1.56) |
| Score Analysis |
| Gomel | Draw | Belshina |
| 1-0 @ 10.8% ( 0.13) 2-1 @ 9.37% ( 0.31)2-0 @ 8.45% ( 0.58)3-1 @ 4.89% ( 0.43)3-0 @ 4.41% ( 0.54)3-2 @ 2.71% ( 0.14)4-1 @ 1.91% ( 0.27)4-0 @ 1.73% ( 0.3)4-2 @ 1.06% ( 0.11)Other @ 2.56% Total : 47.88% | 1-1 @ 11.97% ( -0.31) 0-0 @ 6.9% ( -0.33)2-2 @ 5.19% ( -0.02)3-3 @ 1% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.12% Total : 25.18% | 0-1 @ 7.65% ( -0.68) 1-2 @ 6.64% ( -0.44)0-2 @ 4.24% ( -0.55)1-3 @ 2.45% ( -0.26)2-3 @ 1.92% ( -0.08)0-3 @ 1.57% ( -0.27)Other @ 2.47% Total : 26.93% |
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