SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 10 | Gomel | 9 | -1 | 11 |
| 11 | Belshina | 10 | -3 | 11 |
| 12 | Torpedo-BelAZ | 9 | -6 | 8 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 9 | Slavia Mozyr | 10 | -1 | 14 |
| 10 | Gomel | 9 | -1 | 11 |
| 11 | Belshina | 10 | -3 | 11 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gomel win with a probability of 40.52%. A win for Belshina had a probability of 34.89% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gomel win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.17%) and 0-2 (6.24%). The likeliest Belshina win was 2-1 (8.02%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.44%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Gomel would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Belshina | Draw | Gomel |
| 34.89% | 24.59% | 40.52% |
| Both teams to score 58.98% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.03% | 43.96% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.65% | 66.35% |
| Belshina Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.35% | 24.65% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.83% | 59.17% |
| Gomel Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.28% | 21.72% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.11% | 54.88% |
| Score Analysis |
| Belshina | Draw | Gomel |
| 2-1 @ 8.02% 1-0 @ 7.5% 2-0 @ 5.25% 3-1 @ 3.74% 3-2 @ 2.86% 3-0 @ 2.45% 4-1 @ 1.31% 4-2 @ 1% Other @ 2.77% Total : 34.89% | 1-1 @ 11.44% 2-2 @ 6.12% 0-0 @ 5.35% 3-3 @ 1.45% Other @ 0.21% Total : 24.58% | 1-2 @ 8.74% 0-1 @ 8.17% 0-2 @ 6.24% 1-3 @ 4.45% 0-3 @ 3.18% 2-3 @ 3.12% 1-4 @ 1.7% 0-4 @ 1.21% 2-4 @ 1.19% Other @ 2.52% Total : 40.52% |
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