SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | BATE Borisov | 16 | 21 | 32 |
| 2 | Energetik-BGU | 16 | 15 | 31 |
| 3 | Isloch | 17 | 8 | 31 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 11 | Slutsk | 17 | -9 | 18 |
| 12 | Belshina | 16 | -5 | 17 |
| 13 | Arsenal Dzerzhinsk | 16 | -12 | 13 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a BATE Borisov win with a probability of 57.85%. A draw had a probability of 22.3% and a win for Belshina had a probability of 19.85%.
The most likely scoreline for a BATE Borisov win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.92%) and 2-0 (9.88%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.55%), while for a Belshina win it was 0-1 (5.61%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| BATE Borisov | Draw | Belshina |
57.85% ( -0.56) | 22.3% ( 0.14) | 19.85% ( 0.41) |
| Both teams to score 53.7% ( 0.21) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.04% ( -0.05) | 44.96% ( 0.05) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.69% ( -0.05) | 67.31% ( 0.05) |
| BATE Borisov Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.74% ( -0.2) | 15.26% ( 0.2) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 56.05% ( -0.38) | 43.95% ( 0.38) |
| Belshina Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.38% ( 0.4) | 36.62% ( -0.4) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 26.59% ( 0.4) | 73.41% ( -0.41) |
| Score Analysis |
| BATE Borisov | Draw | Belshina |
| 1-0 @ 10.5% ( -0.05) 2-1 @ 9.92% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 9.88% ( -0.12)3-1 @ 6.22% ( -0.05)3-0 @ 6.19% ( -0.12)3-2 @ 3.12% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 2.92% ( -0.04)4-0 @ 2.91% ( -0.08)4-2 @ 1.47% ( -0.01)5-1 @ 1.1% ( -0.02)5-0 @ 1.09% ( -0.04)Other @ 2.54% Total : 57.84% | 1-1 @ 10.55% ( 0.07) 0-0 @ 5.59% ( 0.01)2-2 @ 4.98% ( 0.05)3-3 @ 1.05% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.13% Total : 22.3% | 0-1 @ 5.61% ( 0.07) 1-2 @ 5.3% ( 0.09)0-2 @ 2.82% ( 0.07)1-3 @ 1.78% ( 0.05)2-3 @ 1.67% ( 0.03)0-3 @ 0.94% ( 0.03)Other @ 1.72% Total : 19.85% |
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